What has gone wrong for the Tories?
Fewer than a thousand days ago (988 as I sit here) Boris Johnson was cock-of-the-dunghill, with the highest popular vote since Thatcher in 1979, and sitting on an unassailable 80-seat majority. Today the old cock is merely an unemployed feather duster.
Tory cultism gave us privatisation and Europhobia and empowered Nimbyism. There’s three to start with.
Privatisation
It began with the state appropriating property. Local authorities had developed local utilities over decades: at a stroke they were alienated by the state, and sold off at rock-bottom share-prices to sub the bourgeois voters. The rationale was that a private corporation would sweat the assets in a way a public one couldn’t and wouldn’t. Of itself, apart from the landgrabs, nothing too controversial there.
The privatised operations would have a firm hand of regulators behind them. And that was the catastrophic error: the regulators have been complacent and compliant. There is a revolving door between the offices of the privatised utilities and the offices of the regulators — almost impossible to avoid if expertise in the latter can only be recruited from the former.
Note what happened with the railways, apart from an influx of lawyers. The infrastructural knowledge, acquired by decades of in-house engineers, was shrugged off: cheaper to buy in ‘consultants’ and ‘experts’. Traditionally the chief safety official, responsible for investigating and remedying accidents, was a military man — probably originally with the Indian railways. Now it would be another bureaucrat. Consider the list of post-privatisation rail ‘accidents’. Ireland’s own version, writ small, was the Malahide viaduct: would that have happened were a lengthsman walking the track on a regular basis?
The next stage in the great privatisation fiddle was eliminating the small share-holder, and grossing the concerns into ever larger conglomerates. Which then became the loose change for international finance. Here in York, my buses are a sub-division of Deutsche Bahn, as are two of the train operators, my energy supply is nominally ‘Scottish Power’ (main owner based in Bilbao), Yorkshire Water is at root Citibank and HSBC.
Before we screetch ‘renationalise’, I’d suggest an alternative: again sweat the assets. Give the regulators power and means to make providers deliver. Look what has happened on the East Coast Main Line with Virgin Trains surrendering to a state-run LNER.
Europhobia
Thatcher was, in practice, a sound European. She was a main mover of the Single Market. Her gut was against referendums. She was dead before her cultists took over. Her name has been appropriated by such as those in my next paragraph.
The main proponents of Leave were right-wing Atlanticists, hedge-fundies, and their pawns in places such as Tufton Street and Policy Exchange.
The Tory Party found itself under threat from hedgies, and their poor, bloody infantry, the Faragists. Cameron, weak as dish-water, first bought his way by vague promises of a referendum; then was forced to see it through (fully and arrogantly expecting to win it). The kindest verdict on Cameron could be ‘nice, but dim’. He was outflanked by Farage’s populism, Boris Johnson’s opportunism, and Michael Gove’s machinations. All now consigned to the dustbin of history, we must hope. [I see Gove is just 55 today, so unlikely to retire to ‘gardening leave’.]
After the referendum, the best chance of finding firm ground was something like Theresa May’s half-way house, accepting the UK as part of the Single Market, and squabbling line-by-line over the rules. Johnson’s driving ambition saw that off. He then expelled from the Tory Party any and all who opposed his dominance — and with those Big Beasts went whole swathes of Tory talent. The good news there is it will hobble, perhaps even split the Tory Party for a decade or more ahead.
All for what? Sterling at $1.18, nil investment even at that bargain price, stupendous bureaucracy, total chaos in international relations, and a looming recession. Good luck with all that, Mizz Truss (especially if a tawdry Tory cheer at Norwich merits cocking snooks at President Macron).
Nimbyism
The Tory Party is not a national party. Estimates say its membership is below 150,000, average age around fifty-seven, and heavily non-urban. That remaining membership doesn’t like the Big State, doesn’t like wind-farms, doesn’t like solar power — and that is especially relevant at the moment.
The current issue of The New European gets Paul Mason on both Tory leadership candidates inveighing against solar energy:
Truss told party members in Darlington: “I’m somebody who wants to see farmers producing food, not filling in forms, not doing red tape, not filling fields with paraphernalia like solar farms. What we want is crops, and we want livestock.”
Sunak meanwhile promised Telegraph readers that, under his leadership, Britain would “not lose swatches of our best farmland to solar farms”. He was committed to “making sure our fields are used for food production and not solar panels”.
Err, umph: it occurs to me if there are no regulations, and if the farmer gets a better income from solar panels than running unsellable sheep, why shouldn’t the farmer go with the solar option? Or am I missing something?
I guess the target there wasn’t the farmer balancing books, but the traveller on the A1(M) or East Coast Main Line (ECML) horrified the passing landscape is no longer Enid Blyton’s.
Anyhoo, Mason adds:
solar farms — where arrays of photovoltaic cells convert the sun’s energy into electricity and channels into the National Grid — take up just 0.1% of the UK’s land and 0.08% of the land in use.
And that, by planning guidance, wherever possible:
“previously developed land, brownfield land, contaminated land, industrial land, or agricultural land of classification 3b, 4 and 5 (avoiding the use of ‘Best and Most Versatile’ cropland wherever possible”).
Mason pushes Truss’s argument even further. She:
has advanced … instead of solar, farmland should be used to grow maize for biofuels. there are already 93,000 hectares of land being used for this, which produce a grand total of half a Gigawatt. The same acreage of land covered with solar panels would produce 45GW — or half of our total needs to stop climate change.
I’m not going to back those numbers: they seem a trifle glib to me. But far more so does the Truss approach.
Let me come at it from a different view: on my trips down the ECML I see the solar farms. Around Doncaster, I also pass trains carrying fuel for the Drax power station — and that really is a boondoggle. Highly-processed wood pellets arrive by ship; which are then conveyed to Drax by diesel-hauled trains, to be processed back into powder, and blown into the former coal-fired boilers. All this is, allegedly but disputably, ‘carbon-neutral’.
Two of these three headline items are introverted, faux-nostalgic gripes.