George Osborne perkily presented himself to the BBC’s Today programme, though to be interviewed by Sarah Montague rather than the resident rottweiler. One could happily anticipate that the IMF report on the British economy, due later in the morning, was a A-OK.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has concluded that no changes are needed to UK economic policy.
It said weak economic growth and rising inflation had been “unexpected”, but that they were “largely temporary”.
Lest we forget …
There was a celebrated precedent for Gids Osborne and the IMF to be in total agreement.
Woopie-do!
That would be the same IMF which:
commended Ireland’s continued impressive economic performance, characterized by one of the highest growth rates of GNP per capita among advanced countries and one of the lowest unemployment rates. This performance has been underpinned by outward-oriented policies, prudent fiscal policy, low taxes, and labor market flexibility.
As was published in September 2007. Northern Rock had gone to the wall about two weeks earlier, having pursued policies — writ small — which were about — writ large — to implode the Irish economy.
The cosily-corrupt, over-leveraged, over-borrowed, over-lent Irish banks were hailed by the all-seeing, all-knowing IMF as well-capitalized, profitable, and liquid.
It wasn’t that the IMF couldn’t see the problem:
Ireland has experienced very rapid credit growth in recent years. Household debt as a percentage of GNP increased from about 35 percent in 1995 to about 90 percent in 2006, while bank credit to the corporate sector has shown similar increase during the period, rising from under 30 percent of GNP to about 90 percent of GNP. In level terms, Ireland’s private-sector indebtedness is among the highest in advanced economies.
Thereupon the IMF report rapidly segued into an account of the channels through which finance benefits the economy.
Ah! the benefits of ghost estates and zombie hotels!
Previously the IMF got it wrong:
and
It takes the IMF around a decade to admit to such gross errors.
So, there was Malcolm’s ultimate insanity of the morning.
Enjoy the rest of the day.